Apple stock seems ripe for a rally

Apple stock seems ripe for a rally

Tech Highlights:

  • The AAPL stock chart below shows times when 9-day RSI, MACD, and Bollinger Percent B reached oversold readings at the same time. AAPL was also trading at a big discount to the 20-day moving average as well. All these previous instances proved to mark significant short-term lows in AAPL stock as highlighted in aqua. Apple once again generated a technical buy based on these indicators just recently.

  • Since the Financial Crisis in 2008, NASDAQ stocks have had their worst month. The VIX, a gauge of market fear, is approaching its highest point since the start of the Covid Crisis. Even Apple, which appears impenetrable to criticism, has felt the heat, despite a record-breaking revenue quarter. Apple (AAPL) shares are now approaching oversold levels, which have previously highlighted important buy points. To identify potential technical turning points, I prefer to employ a simple system. For those who missed it, the method was described in a prior article.

There is major horizontal support at the $150 level for Apple. $140 is additional downside support. Implied volatility (IV) is signaling a buy as well. The recent red-hot rise has taken IV to extremes once again. Important to notice how these major spikes in IV have coincided with the major buy points from the price chart earlier. Combining IV analysis along with technical analysis can make for a much more robust timing tool. Implied volatility also means option prices are much more expensive. This makes selling strategies more effective when constructing trades.

Let’s walk through how selling puts now to be paid to be a buyer of Apple at lower levels has become a more profitable endeavor with lower risk. All things being equal, the following two should hold true regarding put prices: Higher stock prices should equate to lower put prices Less time until expiration should mean lower put prices. All things are not equal in the case of implied volatility (IV) in AAPL options from last November until now. A quick side by side comparison while highlight how the recent spike in IV has made put prices dramatically more expensive.

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